This market predicts the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision at the March 17–18, 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Each outcome reflects how the target federal funds rate changes compared to its level immediately before the meeting. Only one outcome can win. Resolution Criteria: This market resolves based on the official FOMC policy statement released by the Federal Reserve on March 17 or March 18, 2026. - A 25 bps cut/hike resolves if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered or raised by exactly 0.25%. - A 50+ bps cut/hike resolves if the upper bound changes by 0.50% or more. - No Change resolves if the target range remains unchanged. Resolution will use official Federal Reserve communications (fed press release or website).
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