This market resolves to “Green” if the official S&P 500 Index (SPX) closing value on Tuesday, February 3, 2026 is higher than the official closing value on the most recent prior trading day. It resolves to “Red” if the official SPX closing value on Tuesday, February 3, 2026 is lower than the official closing value on the most recent prior trading day. For example, a Monday market typically compares Monday’s close to the prior Friday’s close—unless Friday was a market holiday, in which case it compares to Thursday’s close (or the latest earlier trading day). If the two closing values are exactly equal, the market will be voided and all funds returned to participants, minus a 5% transaction fee. If either day is a shortened trading session (e.g., holiday schedule), the official SPX close published for that shortened session will still be used. If either day lacks an official closing value (e.g., trading halt into the close, system disruption, delisting, or similar event), the market will instead use the last valid on-exchange trade price from the regular session as the effective close.
| Market | Est. Multi.Estimated Multiplier | Pool | |
|---|---|---|---|
Won | — | 0 pClash 0 trades | Won |
Lost | — | 0 pClash 0 trades | Lost |
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