This market predicts whether any part of the U.S. federal government will enter a shutdown due to lack of approved funding on or before January 31, 2026. A shutdown occurs when Congress fails to enact appropriations or a continuing resolution by the funding deadline. Yes wins if any federal agency operations are interrupted or furloughed due to failure to pass required funding, a continuing resolution, or full appropriations before or on Jan 31, 2026. No wins if Congress funds the government - via appropriations or a continuing resolution - so no shutdown occurs by that date. ✔️ A partial shutdown (some agencies closed) counts as a shutdown. ✔️ A full funding deal or continuing resolution signed before the deadline resolves to No.
| Market | Est. Multi.Estimated Multiplier | Pool | |
|---|---|---|---|
Won | — | 0 Clash 0 trades | Won |
Lost | — | 0 Clash 0 trades | Lost |
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